Analysis - All Posts

Roll Call: The voters’ voice: Gerrymandering and the state of democracy
In the first of two columns for Roll Call, the Winston Group’s David Winston discusses the current state of redistricting (and gerrymandering), and the challenge of ensuring the central role of voters’ voices by producing maps that honestly reflect the electorate’s public will. Over the past decades, gerrymandering by both parties

The Great Homework Debate
For many adults, homework may conjure memories of endless rows of math problems, perhaps multiplication or long division, and the prospect of a long night at the kitchen table. Or a worksheet of vocabulary terms or history concepts. Data, however, suggest that practices around homework may be changing for some schools

Senate Re-Election Survivors And Presidential Job Approval
Presidential job approval is always a key factor in a midterm, posing challenging headwinds to candidates from the president’s party. As polls show President Trump’s job approval is becoming more challenging, there are concerns the Senate is in play more than initially expected. However, Senate race history shows that presidential

Tuesday’s “Narrow Victory” In Virginia Is A Wakeup Call For Democrats
Tuesday’s redistricting election in Virginia was a win for Democrats, but the outcome was close. Since last November’s Democratic wins for governor and in the state legislature, the state’s progressives are feeling emboldened, but it wasn’t long ago that they had an unpleasant surprise with Terry McAuliffe’s 2021 defeat by

Roll Call: Blue Wave? Or Red Save?
The Winston Group’s David Winston writes in today’s Roll Call about the difficulty of predicting wave elections for either party. Yes, we’ve seen a string of GOP losses in special elections, with the media contrasting the winning percentages against President Donald Trump’s performance in 2024. But political waves are more

The Blue Wave Narrative And What To Watch This Fall
Democrats are getting excited at the prospect of a Blue Wave this fall, and the media seems to be joining in the hype. While Republicans had a Red Wave disappointment in 2022, Democrats had their own Blue Wave bust in 2020. On Election Night, House Democrats had a rude awakening