Economy

The Wall Street Journal: The Republican Party Is Losing Its Edge With Voters on the Economy
The Winston Group’s David Winston was recently featured in an article from The Wall Street Journal about cost-of-living worries and how the preference for Republicans to handle economic issues has started to slip. If Democrats win by double digits among independents and can sustain leads on the economy, a Blue

GOP’s Big Opportunity With 127 Million Filers: The Standard Deduction
In efforts to sell their Big Beautiful Bill, Republicans have focused more of their messaging on no tax on tips and overtime, but they may be missing their biggest opportunity to reach the most people with the standard deduction. The IRS says that about 90% of tax filers — 127

Are Tax Cuts Depriving The Government Of Needed Revenue?
Republicans have just passed the one year mark of their signature legislative accomplishment, The Big Beautiful Bill. One of the main Democratic criticisms of the BBB and the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act is that tax cuts “deprive the federal government of needed revenue.” Given the nation’s bleak fiscal

Economic Issue Handling Slips For Republicans
Throughout the conflict with Iran, the economy has stumbled and we have seen Republican leads on the economy erode. But from our trending for Winning the Issues, slippage on economic issue handling started last year and before the conflict started in late February. Our new numbers (May 30-June 2) confirm

Inflation Creeps Back Up: What Republicans Should Expect
In the last CPI report released last week, year-over-year inflation ticked up to 3.8% — the highest CPI of President Trump’s term. This is the highest CPI since May 2023, meaning that it is higher than when President Biden left office (3%). We have been tracking the cumulative effect of

Progress On The Economy
One of the key questions going into the midterm election will be this: have Republicans made progress on the economy? Since November of last year, we have seen the direction of economy improve slightly from 31-58 to 36-51 in January. This is still a negative view, but going in the