Analysis - All Posts
Roll Call: Unhappy Independents Will Decide This Election
The rising power of independents has been trending in national politics for decades, writes The Winston Group’s David Winston in today’s column for Roll Call. Independents now wield indisputable clout. And they aren’t happy. In the most recent Winning the Issues survey (May 30-June 2), 71 percent of independents said
Who Are Independents?
We talk about independent voters on a frequent basis, and one of the questions we get most often is about understanding who independents are. In recent elections, there have seen sizable increases in voters identifying as independent rather than as Republicans or Democrats. In the 2024 election, independents surpassed Democrats
Roll Call: An autopsy of the DNC campaign autopsy
The DNC finally released its 2024 autopsy, but it was an incomplete post-mortem that failed to get to the heart of what worked, what didn’t and why. In his latest column for Roll Call, The Winston Group’s David Winston outlines six questions on politics and policy that the DNC report
Education Next: The Yale Report and the Value of the Liberal Arts
The Winston Group’s David Winston and Caitlin Peartree are out with a new essay at Education Next. In this piece, they consider the recent report on trust in higher education from Yale University and the importance of the kind of broad-based, liberal arts education an institution like Yale provides. A
Texas Senate Tip Sheet: What Will It Take For Republicans To Hold?
With Ken Paxton’s victory in the Texas GOP runoff, this week we look at the vote history in the state and what it will take for Republicans to hold this Senate seat. The chart below shows exit poll data from past elections going back to 2016. Vote History • Republicans
Inflation Creeps Back Up: What Republicans Should Expect
In the last CPI report released last week, year-over-year inflation ticked up to 3.8% — the highest CPI of President Trump’s term. This is the highest CPI since May 2023, meaning that it is higher than when President Biden left office (3%). We have been tracking the cumulative effect of