Analysis - All Posts

Discussion Points Episode 5: Why Are Polls Wrong?

In this truth-telling episode of Discussion Points, Myra Miller and David Winston talk about the pitfalls of polling, including biases, methodology issues, and how polls can be manipulated to validate narratives. David talks about weighting and transitions in methodology. They identify tips for spotting a biased poll and red flags

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Are Tax Cuts Depriving The Government Of Needed Revenue?

Republicans have just passed the one year mark of their signature legislative accomplishment, The Big Beautiful Bill. One of the main Democratic criticisms of the BBB and the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act is that tax cuts “deprive the federal government of needed revenue.” Given the nation’s bleak fiscal

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Roll Call: Mamdani, Schumer, Jeffries: Who Is In Charge?

In his latest column for Roll Call, The Winston Group’s David Winston considers the Democratic Socialist victories in the New York City Democratic primaries and the challenges they may pose for the future of the party as a whole. What does this mean in terms of policies? Democrats are trying

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What Is the 2026 Midterm Election Going To Be About?

In the 2024 election, the electorate sent the message that Republicans had one job: fix the Biden economy. The 2026 election will largely be about the progress that has or hasn’t made on the economy. Since the 2024 election, voters are not seeing much progress on the economy, and this

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