Democrats are betting on a Blue Wave and are likely to interpret a win as a mandate. But last week, Charlie Cook made an insightful observation about a more appropriate description of what a Democratic win might be: While many have long predicted that Democrats will enjoy a “blue wave” election, I
Six weeks out from the election, our new survey for Winning the Issues (September 12-16) shows an alarming environment for Republicans. The economy is overwhelmingly seen as headed in the wrong direction (28-64 right direction-wrong track). Inflation is seen as getting worse (67%) rather than better (13%) or not changing
In August of last year, Sherrod Brown announced he was a launching a comeback campaign after his defeat in 2024, leading many Republicans to scoff at the idea. In an August 2025 blog post, we wrote: Although Ohio has seen an increasing trend of Republican party ID, Republicans should take Brown’s
Recent Senate primaries have revealed some interesting trends about campaign ad spending. As we have seen in Florida, Minnesota, Michigan and Texas, there are signs that millions being spent on campaign ads may be reaching their limits. The chart shows ad spending by or on behalf of each candidate. Florida: Socialist
Socialist candidates are having success in many Democratic primaries across the country. The latest shock for Democrats was in Florida with Resistance hero Alexander Vindman losing to socialist Angie Nixon, despite his 37:1 campaign ad spending advantage. Democrats may be breathing a sigh of relief by averting a Wisconsin catastrophe
In the first of our Discussion Points Podcast Battleground episodes, we are spotlighting the Senate race between Susan Collins and Troy Jackson. (Link here to Episode 7: Senate Battleground Maine: Can Susan Collins Win Re-Election Again?) The current environment is challenging in a state like Maine, but this is something Collins