Midterm season is quickly approaching, and Democrats believe they are close to taking back control of the House of Representatives. Is midterm history doomed to repeat itself? Today, we are reviewing recent midterm elections and what the key factors were in each. The chart below shows elections in which there
It’s shutdown season in Washington, raising the usual questions about “who will get blamed.” Our answer is — no one comes out a winner in a shutdown. Here are seven reasons: 1. From our historical trending for Winning the Issues, the government shutdown of 2013 holds the record for the
As Congress returns this fall, we’re likely to see a flood of data about Congressional races and advocacy issues. From Real Clear Politics poll postings, the last eleven public surveys from mid-August to today (early afternoon) show Trump job approval anywhere from +10 to -18. Based on this 28-point range, it
As Republicans face another challenging midterm election, we are taking a look at Congressional vote history and what can be learned from the vote totals for each party. The chart below shows vote totals from 2008 forward, using historical election data from the Clerk of the House. Here are five
This week’s big Senate news was Sherrod Brown’s decision to challenge Senator Jon Husted, making another run for the Ohio seat after his 2024 defeat. Sherrod Brown was one of Schumer’s top recruits in 2006, and Schumer is betting on Brown again. Today, we are taking a look at Brown’s
Democratic responses to the recently passed tax bill indicate there is no consensus about their 2026 strategy. Here are a few examples: • Chuck Schumer tried to show concern about the debt and define the bill in terms of health care: One Big, Ugly Betrayal that will increase the debt