We have new numbers for Winning the Issues (October 15-16, 1000 registered voters) on the state of the federal government shutdown. Is either side moving the needle? Here are initial takeaways: 1.) There has been little impact on views of the two parties compared to views that existed before the
The current shutdown has been a long time coming all year. Back in March, Schumer’s decision to cooperate to keep the government open drew backlash from the left and talk of a primary challenge from AOC. It seemed obvious he wasn’t going to be able to do it a second
Midterm season is quickly approaching, and Democrats believe they are close to taking back control of the House of Representatives. Is midterm history doomed to repeat itself? Today, we are reviewing recent midterm elections and what the key factors were in each. The chart below shows elections in which there
It’s shutdown season in Washington, raising the usual questions about “who will get blamed.” Our answer is — no one comes out a winner in a shutdown. Here are seven reasons: 1. From our historical trending for Winning the Issues, the government shutdown of 2013 holds the record for the
As Congress returns this fall, we’re likely to see a flood of data about Congressional races and advocacy issues. From Real Clear Politics poll postings, the last eleven public surveys from mid-August to today (early afternoon) show Trump job approval anywhere from +10 to -18. Based on this 28-point range, it
As Republicans face another challenging midterm election, we are taking a look at Congressional vote history and what can be learned from the vote totals for each party. The chart below shows vote totals from 2008 forward, using historical election data from the Clerk of the House. Here are five