Analysis - All Posts
Culture Wars vs. Learning Loss As Voter Priority
Throughout the 2024 campaign, the education policy debate has focused largely on cultural issues particularly on the Republican side. Data from the most recent survey for Winning the Issues (September 18-19; 1,000 registered voters) suggests this would not be the strongest message on the education issue. In a direct contrast,
Roll Call: To debate or not to debate, that is the question
The Winston Group’s David Winston writes in today’s Roll Call about the possibility of a second Trump-Harris debate and the current state of the presidential race. The possibility of a second Harris-Trump debate makes for a great subplot to one of the most interesting campaigns we’ve ever seen. How the
States Get Poor Grades On Learning Loss Transparency
Earlier this month, the Center for Reinventing Public Education released a report intended to answer the following question: how easy would it be for a parent or advocate to compare student performance pre- and post-COVID? The answer, following the report’s analysis of the ease of finding student performance data and other metrics,
The Electoral College Trigger
One of the questions we are asked the most is about why polls were wrong in the 2016 election that saw the “surprise” win for Trump. Polling averages had shown significant leads for Clinton, but the race tightened during October; polls not in the field toward the end missed the
New Inflation Trending
This morning’s new inflation report showed a slight moderation in year-over-year inflation (2.5%) but with core inflation up 3.2% from a year ago. The year-over-year rate is the lowest since March 2021, the month that the American Rescue Plan was passed. But with inflation still well over 2%, this result
Roll Call: The popular vote: California versus the rest of the country
In today’s Roll Call, the Winston Group’s David Winston writes about a key indicator of electoral success: the winner of the popular vote outside of California. For both parties, historical trends show that the “rest of the country” margins align more closely with an Electoral College victory and can be