Analysis - All Posts
“Just As Devastating” As NAEP – US Math Scores Drop on TIMSS
The headlines told the same, familiar story last week. US Math Scores Drop On Major International Test (Chalkbeat). ‘Sharp, Steep Declines’: US Students Are Falling Behind in Math and Science (Education Week). US Students Posted Dire Math Declines on an International Test (The New York Times). Specifically, the headlines are referring to US students’ performance on
Roll Call: The great Democratic divide elects Trump twice
The Winston Group’s David Winston writes in today’s Roll Call about the “existential split” within the Democratic party that has twice led to the election of Donald Trump and now to the Democrats becoming a third party. What has driven the Democratic Party into third-party status isn’t complicated. There is now, and
Ideology Of The Presidential Candidates
In the aftermath of the election, Democrats are pointing fingers about who was to blame for the billion dollar campaign disaster. There is some recognition that Democrats were out of touch, and that they need to overhaul the party’s messaging. But at the heart of the messaging disconnect was that
The Rise of Independents and Decline of Democrats: An Analysis Of The 2024 Presidential Election
This in-depth analysis, using Edison Research exit poll data, and the Winning the Issues post-election study, reviews what happened and why. For the first time since the Watergate era, independents surpassed one of the major political parties to rank second in terms of party identification. In this presidential election, the
Roll Call: Here’s how the media missed the story, from joy to democracy
The Winston Group’s David Winston writes in today’s Roll Call about the media narratives that “simply did not pan out, as the results and exit polls show.” Pundits also argued that because the country was so polarized, there were no neutral voters; everyone leaned toward one party or the other.
America’s New Third Party: Democrats
One of the questions we’re asked most frequently is whether there is room for a third party. Given the result in the 2024 election, there may be a new one on the political scene. As we highlighted in last Friday’s Discussion Points, the 2024 election produced a historic low for