Analysis - All Posts

Flipping The House

Midterm season is quickly approaching, and Democrats believe they are close to taking back control of the House of Representatives. Is midterm history doomed to repeat itself? Today, we are reviewing recent midterm elections and what the key factors were in each. The chart below shows elections in which there

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What’s The Latest On Education Issue Handling?

One of the key metrics that the Winston Group watches in education is issue handling. Do voters have more confidence in Republicans or Democrats to handle the issue? Our recent piece for Education Next attempted to explain some of the recent contradictory findings about who voters prefer more. Today, we look

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shutdown

Seven Reasons No One Wins In A Shutdown

It’s shutdown season in Washington, raising the usual questions about “who will get blamed.” Our answer is — no one comes out a winner in a shutdown. Here are seven reasons: 1. From our historical trending for Winning the Issues, the government shutdown of 2013 holds the record for the

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The Electorate’s Take On Student Proficiency

Last week, we covered the release of the latest NAEP results for 12th grade. The results were not good news. Only 22% of 2024 seniors were considered at or above proficient in math, while 35% were considered at or above proficient in reading, erasing two decades’ worth of progress.  These

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Are Republicans Losing Focus On Inflation?

This week, two BLS inflation numbers for August were reported. The first one was the Producer Price Index coming in at 2.6%, down from 3.1% in July. Following that report, the White House statement from Karoline Leavitt was that “the latest PPI report shows there is no inflation.” The following day, the Consumer

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