Analysis - All Posts
Roll Call: Why Republicans still need to close the deal on the BBB
The Winston Group’s David Winston writes that Republicans’ work isn’t done when it comes to the One Big Beautiful Bill. The key determining factor in whether voters support the reconciliation package? Whether they believed the bill prevented a tax increase on themselves and their families. How important was this belief
12th Grade NAEP Results Suggest We Are Producing The World’s D Students
If anything, the one good thing that could be said of the 12th grade NAEP results released early yesterday morning is that they reinforce the importance of a rigorous, national benchmark assessment like NAEP and the information it provides. That may be the sliver of silver lining in what was
The Key Belief That Determines Support For The Tax Bill
Congress is back from the August work period, and we’ve just come out of the field with a new read on the Big Beautiful Bill. From our latest survey for Winning the Issues (August 30-September 1, 1000 registered voters), we found that many of the same educational challenges that existed
Roll Call: Polling Should Provide Clarity, Not Confusion
In today’s Roll Call, The Winston Group’s David Winston addresses recent contradictory polling results, the ways data are being used to validate narratives rather than to enhance critical understanding, and how to tell whether numbers are being manipulated to validate a narrative. Survey results are so all over the map
Four Key Findings From The New York Fed Student Loan Debt Data
The New York Fed is out with its Household Debt and Credit report for Q2 2025, looking at aggregate household debt and debts of varying kinds, including student loan debt. Here are three key findings from their historical data: The total student loan balance for the second quarter of 2025
Three Signs Of “Rigged” Numbers
As Congress returns this fall, we’re likely to see a flood of data about Congressional races and advocacy issues. From Real Clear Politics poll postings, the last eleven public surveys from mid-August to today (early afternoon) show Trump job approval anywhere from +10 to -18. Based on this 28-point range, it